Guardians vs. Red Sox Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets - Thursday, April 25, 2024 - Bleacher Nation (2024)

Following a big two-homer game last time out, Connor Wong leads the Boston Red Sox (14-11) into action as +112 underdogs against the Cleveland Guardians (17-7). First pitch from Progressive Field at 1:10 PM ET on Thursday, live on NESN.

Triston McKenzie gets the starting nod for Cleveland while Chase Anderson is Boston’s starter for the contest.

Guardians vs. Red Sox Odds

  • Guardians odds to win: -133
  • Red Sox odds to win: +112
  • Spread: Guardians -1.5
  • Total: 7.5 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Thursday, April 25, 2024
  • Time: 1:10 PM ET
  • TV: NESN
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    Who Will Win Guardians vs. Red Sox?

    Guardians and Red Sox Betting Trends

    The Guardians have won 10 of the 15 games they were favored on the moneyline this season (66.7%).

    Cleveland has gone 8-2 (winning 80% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -133 or shorter.

    The Red Sox have won seven, or 50%, of the 14 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

    Boston is 3-2 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +112 or more on the moneyline.

    The Guardians have played in 24 games with an over/under set, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 14 times (14-8-2).

    So far this season, the Red Sox and their opponents have hit the over in 10 of their 25 games with a total.

    Guardians Stats & Insights

    The Guardians score the seventh-most runs in baseball (128 total, 5.3 per game).

    Cleveland averages one home run per game to rank 18th in MLB action with 23 total home runs .

    The Guardians are ninth in MLB with a .251 batting average.

    Cleveland’s hitters strike out 7.6 times per game, the fifth-fewest strikeouts in the majors.

    The 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Guardians pitching staff ranks fourth in MLB.

    Cleveland has a 3.15 team ERA that ranks fourth among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Red Sox Stats & Insights

    The Red Sox have scored the 13th-most runs in the league this season with 112 (4.5 per game).

    Boston’s 33 home runs rank second in Major League Baseball.

    The Red Sox’s .235 batting average ranks 20th in the league this season.

    Boston is a team with a lot of swing and miss this season, ranking 29th with an average of 10 strikeouts per game.

    The Red Sox strike out nine batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, seventh-best in MLB.

    Boston pitchers have a combined ERA of 2.50 ERA this year, first-best in baseball.

    Guardians Key Players to Watch

    McKenzie (2-2) gets the starting nod for the Guardians in his fifth start of the season. He has a 5.00 ERA in 18 2/3 innings pitched, with 11 strikeouts.

    Josh Naylor leads Cleveland in home runs (six) and runs batted in (20) this season while batting .306.

    Steven Kwan leads Cleveland in batting with a .347 average while slugging two homers and driving in seven runs.

    Jose Ramirez has collected 24 base hits, an OBP of .252 and a slugging percentage of .430 this season.

    Andres Gimenez has 23 hits and an OBP of .333 to go with a slugging percentage of .337 this season.

    Red Sox Key Players to Watch

    Anderson gets the nod for the Red Sox and will make his first start of the season.

    Tyler O’Neill leads the Red Sox with seven home runs.

    Jarren Duran’s .257 batting average leads his team.

    Wilyer Abreu has seven doubles, two home runs and nine walks while hitting .322.

    Masataka Yoshida is hitting .250 with three doubles, two home runs and six walks.

    Guardians and Red Sox Injuries

    Guardians: Sam Hentges: 15 Day IL (Finger), Eli Morgan: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Gavin Williams: 15 Day IL (Elbow), James Karinchak: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Angel Martinez: 60 Day IL (Foot), Shane Bieber: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Trevor Stephan: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Red Sox: Triston Casas: 10 Day IL (Rib), Romy Gonzalez: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Tyler Heineman: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Vaughn Grissom: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Nick Pivetta: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Brayan Bello: 15 Day IL (Lat), Bryan Mata: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Garrett Whitlock: 15 Day IL (Oblique), Isaiah Campbell: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Lucas Giolito: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Chris Murphy: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Liam Hendriks: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Trevor Story: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Guardians vs. Red Sox Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Red Sox 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
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    Guardians vs. Red Sox Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets - Thursday, April 25, 2024 - Bleacher Nation (2024)

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